Feature

When can Liverpool win the Premier League title?

25 Mar 2025
Salah Mac Allister celebrate

With Arne Slot's side having a commanding lead at the top of the table, we look at the dates when they could make history

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With Liverpool sitting 12 points clear at the top of the table, fans will inevitably think about WHEN they can win the Premier League title, rather than if.

Here, we look at the permutations of how and when they could be confirmed as 2024/25 Premier League champions.

Title race

Position Pos Club Played Pl GD Points Pts
1 Liverpool LIV 29 +42 70
2 Arsenal ARS 29 +29 58
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Most simply, Liverpool need another 16 points out of the 27 that are available across their remaining nine Premier League matches to guarantee a second Premier League title.

That would give them 86 points, out of reach of their nearest rivals Arsenal, because even if the Gunners won their remaining nine matches they could only get to 85 points.

When is the earliest Liverpool can win the title?

The earliest date that Liverpool could claim the title is Sunday 13 April, at home to West Ham United.

If Arsenal lose their next two matches against Fulham and Everton, while Liverpool win their next two against Everton and Fulham, then Arsenal would be 18 points behind with 21 points left to play for.

Another Arsenal defeat against Brentford on 12 April would leave them 18 points behind with only 18 points available, meaning Liverpool could win the title the following day with a draw against West Ham.

Arsenal and Liverpool's next five fixtures

Even if Arsenal were to match Liverpool’s results, Slot’s team would have the chance to claim the title on Sunday 4 May at Chelsea.

As to the possibility of Liverpool securing the title at home to Arsenal on the weekend of 9-10 May, the leaders would need to drop points and see their lead reduced to seven to nine points for that to happen.

How likely is a comeback?

Arsenal's objective, albeit dependent on the leaders losing and drawing matches in the meantime, is to be no more than nine points behind Liverpool when the sides meet on the weekend of 10-11 May.

If Arsenal then won at Anfield for the first time since September 2012 - a prospect that would be improved if Bukayo Saka is back from injury, as Mikel Arteta has suggested - they could go on to win the title if results in the final two rounds of matches also went their way.

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