Hull City sit three points adrift of safety but their fans can take more hope of avoiding relegation than their rivals when they look at the side's remaining Premier League fixtures.
According to the Fixture Difficulty Rankings (FDR) used for Fantasy Premier League, Marco Silva's side have the most favourable run of fixtures of the bottom seven sides to the end of the season.
The FDR is based on an algorithm analysing the performance statistics for each team across home and away matches, combining this with form over the past six fixtures to create a perceived difficulty value.
The values are simplified into ratings from 1 to 5, with 5 being the highest difficulty of a match.
FDR average of bottom seven
Place | Club | P | Pts | FDR average |
14 | Watford | 28 | 31 | 3.10 |
15 | Leicester City | 28 | 30 | 2.70 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 28 | 3.30 |
17 | Swansea City | 29 | 27 | 2.55 |
18 | Hull City | 29 | 24 | 2.44 |
19 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 22 | 2.80 |
20 | Sunderland | 28 | 20 | 2.70 |
While Hull must travel to Manchester City and host Tottenham Hotspur their average FDR rating works out to 2.44, just ahead of Swansea City then Leicester City and Sunderland.
Crystal Palace have lifted themselves out of the bottom three with two consecutive wins but Sam Allardyce's team face the toughest run-in, averaging 3.3 in the FDR.
These matches include facing all of the present top six, of which four are away from home.
Bottom seven's remaining fixtures
Watford | FDR | Leicester | FDR | C Palace | FDR |
SUN (H) | 1 | STK (H) | 2 | CHE (A) | 5 |
WBA (H) | 2 | SUN (H) | 1 | SOU (A) | 3 |
TOT (A) | 5 | EVE (A) | 4 | ARS (H) | 4 |
SWA (H) | 2 | CRY (A) | 2 | LEI (H) | 2 |
HUL (A) | 2 | ARS (A) | 4 | LIV (A) | 4 |
LIV (H) | 4 | WBA (A) | 2 | TOT (H) | 4 |
LEI (A) | 2 | WAT (H) | 2 | BUR (H) | 1 |
EVE (A) | 4 | MCI (A) | 4 | MCI (A) | 4 |
MCI (H) | 4 | BOU (H) | 2 | HUL (H) | 2 |
CHE (A)* | 5 | TOT (H)* | 4 | MUN (A) | 4 |
Average | 3.10 | Average | 2.70 | Average | 3.30 |
*date TBC
Swansea | FDR | Hull | FDR |
MID (H) | 2 | WHU (H) | 2 |
TOT (H) | 4 | MID (H) | 2 |
WHU (A) | 2 | MCI (A) | 4 |
WAT (A) | 2 | STK (A) | 2 |
STK (H) | 2 | WAT (H) | 2 |
MUN (A) | 4 | SOU (A) | 3 |
EVE (H) | 3 | SUN (H) | 1 |
SUN (A) | 2 | CRY (A) | 2 |
WBA (H) | 2 | TOT (H) | 4 |
Average | 2.55 | Average | 2.44 |
Middlesbrough | FDR | Sunderland | FDR |
SWA (A) | 2 | WAT (A) | 2 |
HUL (A) | 2 | LEI (A) | 2 |
BUR (H) | 1 | MUN (H) | 4 |
ARS (H) | 4 | WHU (H) | 2 |
BOU (A) | 2 | MID (A) | 2 |
SUN (H) | 1 | BOU (H) | 2 |
MCI (H) | 4 | HUL (A) | 2 |
CHE (A) | 5 | SWA (H) | 2 |
SOU (H) | 3 | CHE (A) | 5 |
LIV (A) | 4 | ARS (A)* | 4 |
Average | 2.80 | Average | 2.70 |