Fantasy Premier League

Who is the best FPL captain for Gameweek 14?

By The Scout 30 Nov 2023
Haaland, Salah

The Scout looks at the player and club home/away data to determine the best armband pick

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Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) and Erling Haaland (£14.0m) both have the potential for huge armband hauls in Gameweek 14 of Fantasy Premier League.

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The duo enjoy favourable home matches, with Liverpool’s Salah hosting Fulham and Manchester City’s Haaland entertaining a Tottenham Hotspur side missing both their first-choice centre-backs.

Haaland and Salah head into the weekend as the top-scoring players in Fantasy over the last four Gameweeks.
 
The Norwegian was involved in seven goals, scoring five and assisting two, collecting 40 points in that run.

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Salah delivered three goals and an assist, blanking only once on his way to 31 points.

Players' form compared, GW10-13
Player Points Goals Assists Blanks Bonus
Haaland 40 5 2 1 7
Salah 31 3 1 1 3

The recent underlying statistics could barely be more one-sided for goal threat.
 
Haaland has had at least double the number of shots, shots in the box and big chances than Salah in those last four Gameweeks.
 
Liverpool’s Egyptian boasts the better goal conversion, scoring with three of his eight efforts. He has also been far more creative, with nine key passes to Haaland’s four.

Attacking stats compared, GW10-13
Player Shots Shots in box Big chances Goal conversion % Key passes Big chances created
Haaland 17 16 10 29.4% 4 1
Salah 8 6 5 37.5% 9 2

Rotate your mobile device to see full table 

Who has the best home form?

The home statistics, however, shows Salah is more than a match for his fellow big-hitter.
 
Both have played six such matches, with the Liverpool star leading the way by 63 points to 44.

Salah’s involvement in big chances, in particular, is very much in his favour. He has had 11 big chances to Haaland’s six, and also leads him by four big chances created to one.

Essentially, then, Salah has been involved in 15 big chances in home matches this season, compared with the seven of Haaland.

Home stats compared in 23/24
Player Shots Shots in box Big chances Goal conversion % Key passes Big chances created
Salah  24 18 11 33.3%  12 4
Haaland 20 19 6 30.0%  3 1

Rotate your mobile device to see full table

Assessing the opponents’ defence

Analysing each player’s Gameweek opponents can help identify any weaknesses to target.

Haaland mainly has the upper hand when it comes to the most recent statistics. 

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While neither of the pair’s visitors have kept a clean sheet in the last four Gameweeks, Spurs have conceded more goals, shots in the box and big chances than Fulham.
 
The absence of centre-backs Cristian Romero (£4.9m) and Micky van de Ven (£4.6m) through suspension and injury respectively has heavily impacted Ange Postecoglou’s options, with Spurs fielding a back four consistently entirely of full-backs in their loss to Aston Villa last weekend.

Fulham have, nonetheless, conceded four more shots on target than the north London side in this run.

Opponents’ defensive stats, GW10-13
Team Goals conceded Clean sheets Shots in the box conceded Big chances conceded Shots on target conceded
Spurs 9 0 40 14 19
Fulham 7 0 32 10 23

The season home/away numbers point back towards Salah.
 
While Fulham and Spurs have both managed two clean sheets on their travels, the Cottagers have allowed far more opportunities to their hosts.
 
They have conceded 22 big chances and 44 shots on target, placing them among the worst three side for both statistics. 

Opponents’ home/away stats in 23/24
Team Goals conceded Clean sheets Shots in the box conceded Big chances conceded Shots on target conceded
Fulham 13 2 70 22 44
Spurs 9 2 57 13 27

Rotate your mobile device to see full table 

So, who is the best captain?

The underlying statistics essentially point to a big weekend for both players. 
 
Haaland has the clear advantage when it comes to recent form in the player and team data, while Salah gains the upper hand in the home/away season numbers.
 
Ultimately, it may be that Anfield form which gives Salah the slight edge, with his all-round potential to be involved in big chances at home considerably greater than that of Haaland.

View all the latest FPL tips ahead of Gameweek 14 in Fantasy Premier League

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