Fantasy Premier League

Best Double Gameweek 29 forwards

By The Scout 27 Mar 2023
Ollie Watkins_AVL

The Scout says Aston Villa striker Watkins has form to rival Erling Haaland and Harry Kane

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The Scout looks at each outfield position in Fantasy Premier League to identify the Double Gameweek 29 players who have boasted the most attacking threat recently.

In order to qualify for analysis, each player must have made all four of his last appearances in the previous six Gameweeks. 

Forwards

Ollie Watkins (£7.5m) has boasted the greatest goal threat of any forward over his last four matches.

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Aston Villa’s top scorer recorded 12 shots in the box and seven big chances, while his 10 shots on target were at least twice that of any rival, apart from Kai Havertz (£7.6m).

Watkins has now blanked just once in his previous eight appearances, ahead of matches with Chelsea and Leicester City

Since Unai Emery was appointed Villa head coach in Gameweek 15, Watkins’ average of 5.7 points per match (ppm) is almost identical to the 5.8ppm of Erling Haaland (£12.0m).

Most effective forwards in FPL
Player* Shots in box Shots Shots on target Big chances Chances created
Watkins 12 13 10 7 4
Haaland 11 12 2 6 1
Isak 11 12 5 2 1
Kane 9 13 5 3 2
Havertz 9 12 7 3 7
Nunez 9 10 5 3 3
Mbeumo 7 9 3 3 7
Joao Felix 7 11 3 1 1
Johnson 7 8 5 1 3
Ferguson 6 9 4 1 1
Weghorst 6 7 2 1 3
Toney 5 10 4 3 1
Ings 5 5 2 3 1
Bamford 4 8 3 0 4
Iheanacho 4 6 1 2 2

*last four matches

Haaland’s numbers show why he can easily rival the DGW29 forwards at home to Liverpool.

The Norwegian’s six big chances in his last four are at least double the total of any forward apart from Watkins.

Although Haaland has suffered a drop-off in accuracy, recording two shots on target from 12 attempts, he still found the net twice. 

Isak an alternative option?

Harry Kane (£11.8m), meanwhile, has scored with four of his last five shots on target ahead of Tottenham Hotspur’s visit to Everton

Newcastle United’s Alexander Isak (£6.7m) is the most-bought forward in DGW29 on the back of his two goals and a season-high 13 points against Nottingham Forest last time out.

The Swede’s 11 shots in the box were level with Haaland, ahead of his matches against Manchester United and West Ham United.

Isak’s influence on the Magpies suggests his recent return to fitness could be good news for Fantasy managers.

Indeed, he has scored six of their seven goals when selected this season. 

Isak's goal v Nott'm Forest

Chelsea’s Havertz, meanwhile, hosts Villa and Liverpool as the best all-round performer in the assessment.

The German’s seven shots on target rank second, while his seven chances created place joint-top along with Brentford’s Bryan Mbeumo (£5.9m).

While the Blues are also among the six sides to have a Double Gameweek 34, they do have a Blank Gameweek 32 to navigate, which could pose problems for manager without a Free Hit chip remaining.

Tough schedule for Nunez

Liverpool’s Darwin Nunez (£8.8m) has matched the nine shots in the box and three big chances of Havertz, scoring from three of his 10 shots.

Nunez's goal v Man Utd

The Reds have arguably the toughest schedule of any DGW29 side, visiting both Manchester City and Chelsea.

Nonetheless, they then host Forest in BGW32 and also play at Anfield twice in DGW34, against Tottenham Hotspur and Fulham.

The Reds’ exit from the UEFA Champions League also lessens the risk of rotation among their key players in their quest for a top-four finish.

Toney most-popular

Ivan Toney (£7.9m) is the most-popular DGW29 forward, found in over 41 per cent of squads ahead of Brentford’s matches with Brighton & Hove Albion and Man Utd.

Perhaps surprisingly, he has created just a single chance and also trails his team-mate Mbeumo for shots in the box, by five to seven.

Toney is also just one booking away from a two-match ban, suggesting those on Wildcards should consider a replacement for DGW29.

Also in this series

Part 1: Best DGW29 defenders for attacking threat
Part 2: Best DGW29 midfielders

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