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How important is Pope for Newcastle?

13 Dec 2024
Newcastle United FC v Liverpool FC - Premier League

As Eddie Howe awaits a check on goalkeeper's fitness, we reveal the Magpies' stats with and without him

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Newcastle United's stuttering 2024/25 Premier League campaign could be dealt another blow if their first-choice goalkeeper Nick Pope has to miss any matches through injury.

The 32-year-old has "carried a knee injury this week" according to Newcastle head coach Eddie Howe, who was speaking on the eve of the Magpies' home meeting with Leicester City on Saturday afternoon.

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Howe said: "Initially we thought it was nothing so I think he's seeking some specialist opinion today and then we'll see if he's available tomorrow."

Media reports have suggested Pope could be ruled out for one month, which would be unfortunate timing given Newcastle have seven matches to play in that period - five in the Premier League and one apiece in the EFL Cup and FA Cup.

Newcastle's next seven matches in all competitions
Date Opponent Competition
14/12/2024 Leicester (H) Premier League
18/12/2024 Brentford (H) EFL Cup
21/12/2024 Ipswich (A) Premier League
26/12/2024 Aston Villa (H) Premier League
30/12/2024 Man Utd (A) Premier League
04/01/2025 Spurs (A) Premier League
12/01/2025 Bromley (H) FA Cup
Pope's season so far

Pope has played every minute of their 15 Premier League matches in 2024/25 and has kept three clean sheets, including one against title contenders Arsenal when Howe's men beat them 1-0 on 2 November.

However, Pope and his team-mates have endured a difficult start to December, conceding seven goals in two matches as they lost 4-2 at Brentford three days after a thrilling 3-3 draw with leaders Liverpool.

Newcastle have gone four matches without a win since following up their victory over Arsenal by beating Nottingham Forest 3-1 away.

In the EFL Cup, Pope shut out high-flying Chelsea, as the Magpies triumphed 2-0 at St James' Park to book a home quarter-final encounter with Brentford next Wednesday, 18 December.

Newcastle are due to begin their FA Cup campaign on 12 January, at home to League Two club Bromley.

How Newcastle cope without Pope

If their first-choice goalkeeper is ruled out for the Leicester match and beyond, Newcastle fans could be forgiven for fearing the impact.

Opta statistics show just how pivotal Pope has been for the Magpies since his debut for the club on 6 August 2022. They concede, on average, twice as many goals when he is absent (two per match without him, compared to one per match when he is playing).

Points-wise, Newcastle earn an average of 1.8 per match when Pope is between their posts. This figure drops by half a point to 1.3 when he is not in the team.

Newcastle with and without Pope since his debut
  With Pope Without Pope
Matches 67 24
Wins 33 9
Draws 20 5
Losses 14 10
Goals for 122 50
Average goals for 1.8 2.1
Goals conceded 69 47
Average goals conceded 1.0 2.0
Win ratio % 49% 38%
Points per match 1.8 1.3
Pope's Magpies record

In just under 6,000 minutes of Premier League football, he has conceded 69 goals - an average of almost exactly one goal per match.

He has kept a clean sheet in one third of his league appearances (22 in 67) and has saved 40 per cent of the penalties he has faced (two from five).

Pope's goalkeeping statistics with Newcastle
Statistic Nick Pope
Matches 67
Minutes 5,958
Goals conceded 69
Clean sheets 22
Saves 184
Save % 73%
Penalties faced 5
Penalties saved 2
How Pope compares with other PL goalkeepers

If we look at the goalkeepers who have made a minimum of 25 Premier League appearances since Pope signed for Newcastle, only six have prevented more of the expected goals against them.

In total, Pope has conceded 67 times for Newcastle in the Premier League with his Expected Goals on Target (xGOT) conceded - a metric that measures how likely a shot will go in once it has been taken - standing at 73.

That means Pope has prevented six more goals than expected. 

Liverpool's No 1 Alisson tops the list, which also includes Pope's fellow England international Jordan Pickford. 

PL 'keepers who prevent most goals*
'Keeper Goals conceded** xGOT conceded Goals prevented
Alisson Becker 72 85 13.1
Neto 94 103 9.3
Andre Onana 75 84 9.2
Jordan Pickford 126 135 9.1
Bernd Leno 125 133 8.1
Emiliano Martinez 100 107 7.1
Nick Pope 67 73 6.0
Kepa 45 51 5.5

*Minimum 25 matches played since 6 Aug 2022; **excluding own goals

Pope trails even fewer of his peers when it comes to the main currency of goalkeepers: clean sheets.

PL keepers with most clean sheets
PL since 6 August 2022 Matches Played Clean Sheets
David Raya 85 33
Jordan Pickford 89 26
Alisson Becker 71 25
Ederson 80 23
Nick Pope 67 22
Pope's possible replacements

If Pope is rendered unable to play for the first time this season, he would almost certainly be replaced by Martin Dubravka, who actually wears the club's No 1 shirt (Pope wears 22).

When Pope was rested completely for the EFL Cup win over Wimbledon at St James' Park on 1 October, Dubravka played while former Norwich City goalkeeper John Ruddy provided cover as an unused substitute.

More notably, Dubravka made 23 Premier League appearances last season, between December and the final day of the season, after Pope suffered a shoulder injury around this time last year.

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