As managers in Fantasy Premier League move to bring in Omar Marmoush (£7.3m), The Scout looks at whether the Manchester City forward is a good pick.
Interest in Marmoush has soared in Fantasy after he scored Man City's decisive goal in their 2-1 FA Cup win over AFC Bournemouth on Sunday afternoon.
With his fellow forward Erling Haaland (£14.8m) forced off against the Cherries due to injury, the Egyptian has earned 425,000+ new owners in Gameweek 30, more than any other player.
Despite playing in a central support role since joining Man City in January, Marmoush has been near-identical to Haaland for Fantasy output.
He has matched the Norwegian’s four goals from Gameweek 23 onwards and has amassed 38 points over that period, placing him fourth among forwards and just behind the 40 of Haaland.
Indeed, Marmoush's five goal involvements put him just one behind Haaland, level with strike rivals including Marmoush, Beto (£5.1m), Chris Wood (£7.3m), Ollie Watkins (£8.9m) and Jean-Philippe Mateta (£7.5m).
Top-scoring forwards, GW23-29
Player | G | A | Blanks | Pts |
Beto | 5 | 0 | 3 | 43 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Haaland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 40 |
Wood | 4 | 1 | 4 | 39 |
Marmoush | 4 | 1 | 5 | 38 |
Watkins | 3 | 2 | 2 | 37 |
Mateta | 4 | 1 | 1 | 35 |
What is Marmoush's potential for goals and assists?
The underlying statistics help to highlight Marmoush's prospects for both goals and assists.
His creative potential in particular stands out here. The Egyptian's total of eight chances created from Gameweek 23 onwards ranks second among forwards.
Added to his 14 shots, this means he has been involved in 22 shots over the last seven Gameweeks. That places him one ahead of Haaland, who has had 14 shots and created seven scoring chances for his Man City team-mates.
But it is worth pointing out that, due to his less advanced role, just FOUR of Marmoush's efforts have come from inside the penalty box.
Among the players featured in the table below, Beto and Raul Jimenez (£5.5m) have had 18 such efforts, while Haaland, Yoane Wissa (£6.5m), Liam Delap and Joao Pedro (both £5.6m) have had at least THREE TIMES the number of shots in the box as Marmoush.
However, there is a strong chance that Marmoush will play as Man City's lone forward at home to Leicester City on Wednesday evening if Haaland fails to recover, which could significantly lift his potential for goals.
Top forwards' attacking stats, GW23-29
Player | Shots | Shots in box | Chances created | Shot involvement |
Cunha | 23 | 11 | 8 | 31 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jimenez | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
Beto | 21 | 18 | 6 | 27 |
Delap | 21 | 14 | 2 | 23 |
Wissa | 19 | 14 | 4 | 23 |
Marmoush | 14 | 4 | 8 | 22 |
Haaland | 14 | 12 | 7 | 21 |
Joao Pedro | 15 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
How do Man City's fixtures look?
A Gameweek 30 match with Leicester lifts the immediate potential of Man City's key players, and their schedule over the run-in suggests they can also continue rewarding investors for the rest of the season.
Pep Guardiola's side avoid all of the current top seven teams over their remaining nine fixtures - a run that is reflected in the Fixture Difficulty Ratings (FDR), with NONE of those matches scoring more than three.
While Man City are now set to have a Blank Gameweek 34 due to their progress to the FA Cup semi-finals, this also means they are very likely to have a Double Gameweek at some point.
Man City's remaining nine fixtures
GW | Opp. | FDR |
30 | Leicester (H) | 2 |
---|---|---|
31 | Man Utd (A) | 3 |
32 | Crystal Palace (H) | 3 |
33 | Everton (A) | 3 |
34 | Aston Villa (H) | 3 |
35 | Wolves (H) | 2 |
36 | Southampton (A) | 2 |
37 | Bournemouth (H) | 3 |
38 | Fulham (A) | 3 |
So, should managers invest in Marmoush?
At a point in the season when Blank and Double Gameweeks should be shaping every decision you make, both Mateta and Alexander Isak (£9.3m) should be high-priority forward picks as Crystal Palace and Newcastle United play two matches in Double Gameweek 32 (DGW32).
Nonetheless, at a cost of just £7.3m, Marmoush has the potential to offer huge value alongside those two if Haaland is ruled out and the Egyptian is handed a forward role by Guardiola.
Priced at less than half of the £14.8m of Haaland, Marmoush has already shown his potential for big hauls with 17 and 12-point returns in seven outings.
Even if Haaland returns to action and Marmoush moves back to a No 10 role, the January signing's ability to deliver double-figure scores could come in very handy if Man City do get a Double Gameweek later in the season, as expected.