Feature

Fans to vote on Oracle Most Improbable Comeback

1 Nov 2024
PL2425-AWARDS-EDITORIAL_MostImprobableComeback

In a season of great turnarounds, supporters will be able to choose their favourite for this season's award

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The 2024/25 season is not even a quarter way through and we have witnessed some incredible comebacks already.

On five occasions teams have come from two goals down to win a Premier League match, only one short of the record total of six such turnarounds in a single campaign, in 2022/23.

And from this season fans will be able to vote on which comeback is their favourite.

The Oracle Most Improbable Comeback award is based on the Win Probability Statistic developed by Stats Perform, which calculates the chance of a team securing a win or draw by simulating the remainder of the match 100,000 times.

Oracle will use that stat to identify the teams who have come back to win from the most improbable circumstances.

From these matches fans can choose their favourite comeback at the end of this season.

Already in 2024/25 we have seen AFC Bournemouth, the winner of this award in the past two seasons, become the first team to be trailing by two goals as late as the 87th minute and still win as they triumphed at Everton 3-2 in August.

Everton then let go a two-goal lead at Aston Villa to go down 3-2 once more.

Brighton & Hove Albion were 2-0 down at home to Tottenham Hotspur at half-time but turned it around after the break to win 3-2.

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